Economy
What a Difference a Year Makes… in the Outlook for U.S. Home Prices
What a difference a year makes in the outlook for U.S. home prices. Here are some observations from data collected in the Q1 2023 edition of the Pulsenomics Home Price Expectations Survey: More than two-thirds of the 107 experts who responded expect home values to fall this year–up from just 7% of panel respondents in…
Read More100+ Forecasts for U.S. Home Prices & Rents
Last week, Zillow announced the results of the latest Home Price Expectations Survey conducted by Pulsenomics. In addition to updating their projections for nationwide home prices through 2026, our expert panelists shared their outlook concerning how U.S. house values will change relative to residential rent prices, stock prices, and headline CPI inflation. First, let’s take…
Read MoreEconomic curse words (nine letters, not four)
In the most recent Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey, we asked over 100 expert panelists to weigh-in re: their expectations for (CPI) inflation and economic recession in the U.S. The survey was conducted over a two-week period ended May 9th. The I-word: Inflation During the survey field period, the latest (March) CPI print was 8.5%–at…
Read MoreGreat (Home Price) Expectations
Every quarter for more than 12 years, at least 100 members of an expert panel managed by Pulsenomics participate in the Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey to predict the 5-year future path of U.S. home prices and weigh-in on topical concerns pertinent to residential real estate and mortgage markets. In every year since the survey’s 2010 inception,…
Read MoreMost experts: U.S. recession to start before the end of 2020.
The latest edition of The Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey, conducted by Pulsenomics, was released this morning. In addition to their home price outlook, our expert panel members also weighed-in with their expectations for: Home-buying demand through next year The factors expected to impact near-term home-buying demand The durability of our record-long U.S. economic expansion…
Read More2018 Crystal Ball Award-Winners
In every year since 2010, Pulsenomics has recognized the most accurate and reliable forecasters of U.S. home values with one of our Crystal Ball Awards. More than 100 experts who participate on our Home Price Expectations Survey panel vie for the honor by predicting the future path of the Zillow Home Value Index over a…
Read MoreDownside Risk Signals in US Housing
According to the Q4 2018 edition of the Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey released yesterday, U.S. home prices are projected to increase at an average 3.8 percent rate in 2019–down from an expected 4.2 percent a few months ago. (These data are based upon responses from 114 members of an expert panel managed by Pulsenomics). The…
Read MoreExperts Expect a Record-Breaking Expansion
The Q3 2018 edition of The Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey–conducted by Pulsenomics LLC via a panel composed of more than 100 respected economists, housing analysts and investment strategists–included a compilation of expert opinions concerning when the current economic expansion will peak, mortgage rates one year from now and at the cycle peak, and the…
Read MoreExperts Predict U.S. Recession in 2020–and that Fed Policy will be the Trigger
One-half of the experts surveyed by Pulsenomics in its most recent panel survey expect the next U.S. recession to begin by the first quarter of 2020, and most of them believe monetary policy will likely trigger the next economic downturn. The mortgage credit and residential real estate busts fueled the Great Recession, but few experts…
Read MoreEconomic Eclipse
Last summer, Pulsenomics asked an expert panel of economists, investment strategists, and real estate analysts to weigh-in with expectations re: the timing of, and likely triggers for, the next U.S. recession. In light of policy and financial market developments since then–including a spike in stock market volatility to levels about twice the record-lows recorded during…
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