Economy
Experts Expect a Record-Breaking Expansion
The Q3 2018 edition of The Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey–conducted by Pulsenomics LLC via a panel composed of more than 100 respected economists, housing  analysts and investment strategists–included a compilation of expert opinions concerning when the current economic expansion will peak, mortgage rates one year from now and at the cycle peak, and the…
Read MoreExperts Predict U.S. Recession in 2020–and that Fed Policy will be the Trigger
One-half of the experts surveyed by Pulsenomics in its most recent panel survey expect the next U.S. recession to begin by the first quarter of 2020, and most of them believe monetary policy will likely trigger the next economic downturn. The mortgage credit and residential real estate busts fueled the Great Recession, but few experts…
Read MoreEconomic Eclipse
Last summer, Pulsenomics asked an expert panel of economists, investment strategists, and real estate analysts to weigh-in with expectations re: the timing of, and likely triggers for, the next U.S. recession. In light of policy and financial market developments since then–including a spike in stock market volatility to levels about twice the record-lows recorded during…
Read MoreAmazon HQ2: Economists, Strategists Weigh-In
After receiving 238 bids, Amazon recently announced that it narrowed its focus to 20 cities as the potential home for its second headquarters (“HQ2”). HQ2 will have a profound impact on the chosen city’s real estate market and economy. The just-released Q1 2018 edition of The Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey asked an expert panel…
Read More2017 will pump $1 trillion+ into the balance sheet of U.S. homeowners… again.
Based on the average projection of more than 100 experts surveyed by Pulsenomics this month, U.S. home values are expected to increase by 4.8% in 2017. On the heels of last year’s nearly 7% national appreciation rate, the prospect that home prices will rise less than 5% on average this year might be dispiriting to…
Read More$5.4 Trillion in Home Equity Separates U.S. Housing Optimists & Pessimists
The latest edition of the Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey was published this morning. A panel of more than 100 experts has updated their expectations for national home price growth rates through 2021. According to widely cited price indices, nominal home values have already eclipsed (or are close to surpassing) their pre-crash peak levels. And…
Read MoreHouseholds Ditch The Rear View Mirror
Real estate is a notoriously inefficient asset class. One symptom of market inefficiency is price inertia, a hallmark of housing markets. However, a comparison of actual U.S. home value changes in the recent past to expected changes for the near future (see below chart) suggests that as households ride the road to real estate recovery,…
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