Home Price Projections Pop–Despite Decades-High Mortgage Rates. Cause to Celebrate?

A champagne bottle is being opened with a cork.

Results from the latest (Q3) edition of the Home Price Expectations Survey are now available. The survey was conducted by Pulsenomics July 31 – August 14th. A notable takeaway: the significant shift among our panelists recently in their outlook for 2023 U.S. housing market performance. The quarter-to-quarter change in near-term home price expectations (+3.7 points) is…

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100+ Forecasts for U.S. Home Prices & Rents

A person standing on the road with arrows pointing in different directions.

Last week, Zillow announced the results of the latest Home Price Expectations Survey conducted by Pulsenomics. In addition to updating their projections for nationwide home prices through 2026, our expert panelists shared their outlook concerning how U.S. house values will change relative to residential rent prices, stock prices, and headline CPI inflation. First, let’s take…

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Great (Home Price) Expectations

A hand holding a glass ball with the words " great expectations " in it.

Every quarter for more than 12 years, at least 100 members of an expert panel managed by Pulsenomics participate in the Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey to predict the 5-year future path of U.S. home prices and weigh-in on topical concerns pertinent to residential real estate and mortgage markets. In every year since the survey’s 2010 inception,…

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Renters’ Home-buying Sentiment Turns Negative

A for sale sign in front of a house.

The latest update to the Pulsenomics Transaction Sentiment Index (TSI) shows that home-buying sentiment nationwide is continuing its multi-year downward trend. TSI is the only measure of its kind that scores and tracks home-buying and home-selling mindsets by tenure category and metro market. It shows that among renter households, buying sentiment has fallen further into…

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Downside Risk Signals in US Housing

A man is playing with wooden blocks and houses.

According to the Q4 2018 edition of the Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey released yesterday, U.S. home prices are projected to increase at an average 3.8 percent rate in 2019–down from an expected 4.2 percent a few months ago. (These data are based upon responses from 114 members of an expert panel managed by Pulsenomics). The…

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Gap in U.S. Home Transaction Sentiment is Wider than Ever

A subway platform with the words " find the one ".

Financial capacity limitations–along with a dwindling inventory of affordable single-family homes–are weighing-down renters’ confidence in the housing market, and contributing to a widening gap in “home transaction sentiment.†The latest edition of The U.S. Housing Confidence Survey of 10,000 heads of household–3,762 of whom are renters–reveals a growing imbalance that warrants monitoring. As reported by…

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Fewer Renters are In The Mood (to Buy a Home)

A person is signing a rental agreement

According to the latest edition of The U.S. Housing Confidence Survey (HCS), renters continue to have positive homeownership aspirations. For example, in January, more than six in ten of the 3,741 renters surveyed across 20 of the largest U.S. cities said that they believe that owning a home provides a person more freedom than renting…

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Only Four In Ten Renters Say It’s a Good Time to Buy a Home

A person holding keys to their new home.

Pulsenomics recently completed the latest edition of The U.S. Housing Confidence Survey(HCS). This study entails compilation of 10,000 questionnaires completed by heads of household across the country, and synthesis of more than 300,000 question responses to update the biannual Zillow Housing Confidence Index (ZHCI). One of the dozens of housing-centric questions included in HCS is, “Where…

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The Housing High (and Comedown?) in Denver

A city skyline with buildings and trees in the foreground.

Data from the July edition of the U.S. Housing Confidence Survey of 10,000 households (HCS) and the Zillow Housing Confidence Index (ZHCI) highlighted the recent smoking-hot conditions in the Denver housing market. For example,  at 77.9, the Housing Market Conditions Index (a ZHCI component) for Denver was at the highest level of all cities tracked…

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