Expectations
Great Expectations–2024 Crystal Ball Award-Winners
For fifteen years running, the Home Price Expectations Survey (HPES), produced by Pulsenomics in partnership with Fannie Mae, has served as a real estate market barometer and go-to resource for anyone trying to understand where U.S. home prices might be headed. Each quarter, over 100 expert panel members share their outlook and perspectives, forecasting the…
Read MoreHome Price Projections Pop–Despite Decades-High Mortgage Rates. Cause to Celebrate?
Results from the latest (Q3) edition of the Home Price Expectations Survey are now available. The survey was conducted by Pulsenomics July 31 – August 14th. A notable takeaway: the significant shift among our panelists recently in their outlook for 2023 U.S. housing market performance. The quarter-to-quarter change in near-term home price expectations (+3.7 points)…
Read MoreExpert Panel Weighs In on Fed Policy
In the most recent Pulsenomics panel survey of more than 100 economists and market experts, respondents shared their views re: the Fed’s monetary policy options and when they expect the next U.S. recession will begin. The survey data were collected May 9th-May 23rd, well in advance of this afternoon’s Fed announcement. Here’s a summary:…
Read MoreHome Price Expectations Tick Up–But Consensus Is Elusive
The results of the latest (Q2) edition of Pulsenomics’ Home Price Expectations Survey have been released, and they reveal that most of our expert respondents have become less downbeat about the 2023 outlook for U.S. home values. The survey data were collected May 9th– May 23rd. The mean of all 109 responding panelists’ expectations…
Read MoreWhat a Difference a Year Makes… in the Outlook for U.S. Home Prices
What a difference a year makes in the outlook for U.S. home prices. Here are some observations from data collected in the Q1 2023 edition of the Pulsenomics Home Price Expectations Survey: More than two-thirds of the 107 experts who responded expect home values to fall this year–up from just 7% of panel respondents…
Read More100+ Forecasts for U.S. Home Prices & Rents
Last week, Zillow announced the results of the latest Home Price Expectations Survey conducted by Pulsenomics. In addition to updating their projections for nationwide home prices through 2026, our expert panelists shared their outlook concerning how U.S. house values will change relative to residential rent prices, stock prices, and headline CPI inflation. First, let’s…
Read MoreGreat (Home Price) Expectations
Every quarter for more than 12 years, at least 100 members of an expert panel managed by Pulsenomics participate in the Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey to predict the 5-year future path of U.S. home prices and weigh-in on topical concerns pertinent to residential real estate and mortgage markets. In every year since the survey’s 2010…
Read More2020 Crystal Ball Award-Winners
Every quarter, more than 100 members of an expert panel managed by Pulsenomics participate in the Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey to predict the 5-year future path of U.S. home prices and weigh-in on topical concerns pertinent to residential real estate and mortgage markets. In every year since the survey’s 2010 inception, Pulsenomics has recognized the…
Read MoreMost experts: U.S. recession to start before the end of 2020.
The latest edition of The Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey, conducted by Pulsenomics, was released this morning. In addition to their home price outlook, our expert panel members also weighed-in with their expectations for: Home-buying demand through next year The factors expected to impact near-term home-buying demand The durability of our record-long U.S. economic…
Read MoreShiller: Households showing “healthy optimism”
According to the latest edition of the U.S. Housing Confidence Survey (HCS), households expect home values will increase by an average of more than 6% nationwide through Q1 2020. Arguably, the slower rates of home price appreciation recorded in recent months suggest that consumers are making a pretty bold call. Nobel laureate Robert Shiller…
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