2020 Crystal Ball Award-Winners

Pulsenomics

Every quarter, more than 100 members of an expert panel managed by Pulsenomics participate in the Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey to predict the 5-year future path of U.S. home prices and weigh-in on topical concerns pertinent to residential real estate and mortgage markets. In every year since the survey’s 2010 inception, Pulsenomics has recognized the most…

Read More

Shiller: Households showing “healthy optimism”

Pulsenomics

According to the latest edition of the U.S. Housing Confidence Survey (HCS), households expect home values will increase by an average of more than 6% nationwide through Q1 2020. Arguably, the slower rates of home price appreciation recorded in recent months suggest that consumers are making a pretty bold call. Nobel laureate Robert Shiller said…

Read More

2018 Crystal Ball Award-Winners

Pulsenomics

In every year since 2010, Pulsenomics has recognized the most accurate and reliable forecasters of U.S. home values with one of our Crystal Ball Awards. More than 100 experts who participate on our Home Price Expectations Survey panel vie for the honor by predicting the future path of the Zillow Home Value Index over a…

Read More

Downside Risk Signals in US Housing

Pulsenomics

According to the Q4 2018 edition of the Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey released yesterday, U.S. home prices are projected to increase at an average 3.8 percent rate in 2019–down from an expected 4.2 percent a few months ago. (These data are based upon responses from 114 members of an expert panel managed by Pulsenomics). The…

Read More

Experts Expect a Record-Breaking Expansion

Pulsenomics

The Q3 2018 edition of The Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey–conducted by Pulsenomics LLC via a panel composed of more than 100 respected economists, housing  analysts and investment strategists–included a compilation of expert opinions concerning when the current economic expansion will peak, mortgage rates one year from now and at the cycle peak, and the…

Read More

Housing Market Shift

Pulsenomics

In addition to providing an update to the five-year outlook for U.S. home values, the Q3 2018 edition of The Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey–conducted by Pulsenomics LLC via an expert panel composed of more than 100 respected economists, housing  analysts and investment strategists–delivered insights about when housing market conditions might shift decidedly in favor…

Read More

Housing Confidence: Still Growing

Pulsenomics

JPMorgan Chase has just announced a partnership with Pulsenomics on a newly-expanded suite of U.S. housing market indices. From respondent data collected in our survey of more than 15,500 households–500 from each of 25 individual metropolitan statistical areas, plus 3,000 from a national sample–The Chase Housing Confidence Index™ (HCI) systematically measures and monitors key dimensions…

Read More

Economic Eclipse

Pulsenomics

Last summer, Pulsenomics asked an expert panel of economists, investment strategists, and real estate analysts to weigh-in with expectations re: the timing of, and likely triggers for, the next U.S. recession. In light of policy and financial market developments since then–including a spike in stock market volatility to levels about twice the record-lows recorded during…

Read More

2017 Crystal Ball Award Winners Announced

Pulsenomics

For the majority of U.S. households, residential real estate is the single largest asset on the balance sheet. Prevailing home equity levels–and expected home value changes–can have an out-sized influence on consumer spending and behavior (i.e., wealth effects). As an asset class, U.S. housing has an aggregate value of almost $30 trillion. For these and…

Read More