Renters’ Home-buying Sentiment Turns Negative

A for sale sign in front of a house.

The latest update to the Pulsenomics Transaction Sentiment Index (TSI) shows that home-buying sentiment nationwide is continuing its multi-year downward trend. TSI is the only measure of its kind that scores and tracks home-buying and home-selling mindsets by tenure category and metro market. It shows that among renter households, buying sentiment has fallen further into…

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Downside Risk Signals in US Housing

A man is playing with wooden blocks and houses.

According to the Q4 2018 edition of the Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey released yesterday, U.S. home prices are projected to increase at an average 3.8 percent rate in 2019–down from an expected 4.2 percent a few months ago. (These data are based upon responses from 114 members of an expert panel managed by Pulsenomics). The…

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Experts Expect a Record-Breaking Expansion

A puzzle piece with the word economy and growth on it.

The Q3 2018 edition of The Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey–conducted by Pulsenomics LLC via a panel composed of more than 100 respected economists, housing  analysts and investment strategists–included a compilation of expert opinions concerning when the current economic expansion will peak, mortgage rates one year from now and at the cycle peak, and the…

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Housing Market Shift

A man walking up stairs to the top of a house.

In addition to providing an update to the five-year outlook for U.S. home values, the Q3 2018 edition of The Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey–conducted by Pulsenomics LLC via an expert panel composed of more than 100 respected economists, housing  analysts and investment strategists–delivered insights about when housing market conditions might shift decidedly in favor…

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Housing Confidence: Still Growing

A person holding keys in their hand.

  JPMorgan Chase has just announced a partnership with Pulsenomics on a newly-expanded suite of U.S. housing market indices. From respondent data collected in our survey of more than 15,500 households–500 from each of 25 individual metropolitan statistical areas, plus 3,000 from a national sample–The Chase Housing Confidence Indexâ„¢ (HCI) systematically measures and monitors key…

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Economic Eclipse

A solar eclipse is seen in this image.

Last summer, Pulsenomics asked an expert panel of economists, investment strategists, and real estate analysts to weigh-in with expectations re: the timing of, and likely triggers for, the next U.S. recession. In light of policy and financial market developments since then–including a spike in stock market volatility to levels about twice the record-lows recorded during…

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2017 Crystal Ball Award Winners Announced

A crystal ball reflecting the trees in front of a forest.

For the majority of U.S. households, residential real estate is the single largest asset on the balance sheet. Prevailing home equity levels–and expected home value changes–can have an out-sized influence on consumer spending and behavior (i.e., wealth effects). As an asset class, U.S. housing has an aggregate value of almost $30 trillion. For these and…

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Amazon HQ2: Economists, Strategists Weigh-In

A map with an arrow pointing to the amazon hq 2 location.

After receiving 238 bids, Amazon recently announced that it narrowed its focus to 20 cities as the potential home for its second headquarters (“HQ2”). HQ2 will have a profound impact on the chosen city’s real estate market and economy. The just-released Q1 2018 edition of The Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey asked an expert panel…

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$5.4 Trillion in Home Equity Separates U.S. Housing Optimists & Pessimists

A bull and bear are playing dice.

The latest edition of the Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey was published this morning. A panel of more than 100 experts has updated their expectations for national home price growth rates through 2021. According to widely cited price indices, nominal home values have already eclipsed (or are close to surpassing) their pre-crash peak levels. And…

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