Housing Confidence Index™
The U.S. Housing Confidence Index™ (HCI) was developed by Pulsenomics to effectively monitor and concisely communicate the pulse of U.S. real estate markets nationally, regionally, and at individual metropolitan area levels.
The HCI data set is comprised of more than 750 time series that summarize millions of household attitudinal indicators pertinent to local real estate market conditions, home value and affordability expectations, homeownership aspirations, and more.
"Over the last three decades, we have learned a great deal about the dynamics of home prices. Our research shows that real estate values have enormous wealth effects, but the markets are inefficient, and are propelled by expectations of market participants. These housing confidence data are critical inputs to our understanding of consumer behavior, and where real estate markets and the economy may be heading."
Karl "Chip" Case
Wellesley College Professor Emeritus and Pulsenomics Honorary Advisor (1946-2016)
"These indices will add immeasurably to our understanding of housing markets, with unprecedented detailed information through time and across geographical areas. We have always been mostly in the dark about fundamental drivers of home prices–now that will change.”
Yale Professor, Nobel laureate and Pulsenomics Honorary Advisor
Metro Area Rankings
(click a location for summary index data, and then "Selected HCI series" to view index trends)
This unique index set is derived from response data collected in the Pulsenomics U.S. Housing Confidence Survey™ (HCS), the most expansive opinion research study of its kind. Each HCI update is produced using more than one million data points, compiled from more than 15,000 survey questionnaires completed by heads of household across the United States.
The scale, depth and quality of these data enable production of high-resolution indexes: HCIs are produced for individual tenure categories (i.e., homeowner households and renter households), a variety of geographic strata (nationwide, individual regions and metropolitan areas), and demographic profiles (e.g., millennials).
HCI (and HCI sub-indexes) systematically quantify and track over time key attitudes that can confirm or foreshadow important changes in real estate market dynamics. HCI summarize:
Transaction Sentiment Index™
The Transaction Sentiment Index (TSI) systematically scores and tracks home-buying and home-selling mindsets of heads of household across the United States.
It is the only measure of its kind that does so by tenure category (i.e., renters, owners) and generation (e.g., millennials)--and at national, regional, and metro area levels. Pulsenomics maintains and updates hundreds of TSI series using data compiled in the biannual U.S. Housing Confidence Survey TM (HCS).
TSI is composed of a pair of complementary data series, i.e., The Home Buying Sentiment Index TM (SSI) and The Home Selling Sentiment Index TM (BSI). As the highest-resolution barometer of prevalent home-buying and home-selling attitudes, TSI provides valuable context and unique insight concerning related market metrics, such as for-sale inventory levels, transaction volume, home value trends, and housing confidence.
Metro Area Rankings
(click a location for summary index data, and then "Selected TSI series" to view index trends)